Home › League stats › UEFA Europa League › Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg
UEFA Europa League · International
Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction and preview
5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · Lotto Park, Brussels
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Anderlecht host Red Bull Salzburg in the UEFA Europa League (International) on 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Anderlecht had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 11. Red Bull Salzburg had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Anderlecht's last 10 and 5 of Red Bull Salzburg's last 10; 8 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Anderlecht averaged 2.06 goals scored and 1.12 conceded across 17 matches; away from home Red Bull Salzburg averaged 2.47 scored and 0.88 conceded across 17.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.18 goals from Anderlecht and 1.36 from Red Bull Salzburg. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 40%, against 50%, 25% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 47%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Anderlecht (green) and Red Bull Salzburg (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht | WLWLL | 1.80 | 1.10 | 40% | 80% |
| Red Bull Salzburg | WWWDW | 2.10 | 1.20 | 50% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Anderlecht Win | 50% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other UEFA Europa League matches that day
- AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Bayer Leverkusen Win @ 1.36 - Benfica vs Lech Poznan · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.80 - Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Celtic vs Beşiktaş · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Hapoel Beer Sheva vs OFI · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.67 - Sturm Graz vs Celje · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Sunderland Win @ 1.48 - Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC · 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: AC Milan Win @ 1.33 - Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim · 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 - Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia · 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40