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Celtic vs Beşiktaş prediction and preview
5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · Celtic Park, Glasgow
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Celtic host Beşiktaş in the UEFA Europa League (International) on 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Celtic had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 19. Beşiktaş had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Celtic's last 10 and 7 of Beşiktaş's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Celtic averaged 2.31 goals scored and 1.19 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Beşiktaş averaged 1.25 scored and 1.38 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.88 goals from Celtic and 1.34 from Beşiktaş. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 26%, against 30%, 26% and 44% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Celtic (green) and Beşiktaş (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.28 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 60% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other UEFA Europa League matches that day
- AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
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Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.67 - Sturm Graz vs Celje · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
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Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 - Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim · 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 - Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia · 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40