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USL Championship · USA
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Detroit City prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tampa Bay Rowdies host Detroit City in the USL Championship (USA) on 17 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Tampa Bay Rowdies 1–0 Detroit City.
Going into the match, Tampa Bay Rowdies had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 7. Detroit City had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 3 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Tampa Bay Rowdies's last 10 and 2 of Detroit City's last 10; 4 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tampa Bay Rowdies averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.07 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Detroit City averaged 1.46 scored and 1.08 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.92 goals from Tampa Bay Rowdies and 0.70 from Detroit City. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 37% and an away win at 25%, against 50%, 27% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 50%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tampa Bay Rowdies (green) and Detroit City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | WLDWL | 1.30 | 0.70 | 30% | 40% |
| Detroit City | WWWDW | 0.80 | 0.30 | 20% | 10% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 Aug 2026 · Detroit City 1–0 Tampa Bay Rowdies
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.73 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
| Tampa Bay Rowdies Win | 50% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other USL Championship matches that day
- Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington · 18 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · USL Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Monterey Bay vs Colorado Springs · 18 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC · USL Championship
Published pick: Colorado Springs Win @ 1.45 · FT 0–1 - Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising · 18 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC · USL Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 1–3 - El Paso Locomotive vs Sacramento Republic · 18 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC · USL Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 · FT 0–1 - San Antonio vs New Mexico United · 18 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · USL Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - FC Tulsa vs Oakland Roots · 18 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC · USL Championship
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28 · FT 2–4 - Rhode Island vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds · 17 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · USL Championship
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–1 - Hartford Athletic vs Brooklyn · 17 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · USL Championship
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 2–3 - Louisville City vs Indy Eleven · 17 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · USL Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Miami FC vs Charleston Battery · 17 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · USL Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 1–2