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USL Championship · USA
Rhode Island vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rhode Island host Pittsburgh Riverhounds in the USL Championship (USA) on 17 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Rhode Island 1–1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds.
Going into the match, Rhode Island had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 9. Pittsburgh Riverhounds had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Rhode Island's last 10 and 4 of Pittsburgh Riverhounds's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rhode Island averaged 1.79 goals scored and 0.79 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Pittsburgh Riverhounds averaged 0.77 scored and 1.00 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.77 goals from Rhode Island and 0.70 from Pittsburgh Riverhounds. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 40% and an away win at 28%, against 51%, 29% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rhode Island (green) and Pittsburgh Riverhounds (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhode Island | WLWWL | 1.30 | 0.90 | 40% | 40% |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | WLLWD | 1.00 | 0.80 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Jul 2026 · Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0–1 Rhode Island
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.28 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 59% | 1.50 |
| Rhode Island Win | 51% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Rhode Island form and statistics
- Pittsburgh Riverhounds form and statistics
- USL Championship statistics
Other USL Championship matches that day
- Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington · 18 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · USL Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Monterey Bay vs Colorado Springs · 18 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC · USL Championship
Published pick: Colorado Springs Win @ 1.45 · FT 0–1 - Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising · 18 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC · USL Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 1–3 - El Paso Locomotive vs Sacramento Republic · 18 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC · USL Championship
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Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - FC Tulsa vs Oakland Roots · 18 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC · USL Championship
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28 · FT 2–4 - Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Detroit City · 17 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · USL Championship
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 1–0 - Hartford Athletic vs Brooklyn · 17 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · USL Championship
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Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Miami FC vs Charleston Battery · 17 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · USL Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 1–2