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USL Championship · USA
Monterey Bay vs Colorado Springs prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Monterey Bay host Colorado Springs in the USL Championship (USA) on 18 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Colorado Springs Win — Colorado Springs to win. It was published at odds of 1.45, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Monterey Bay 0–1 Colorado Springs.
Going into the match, Monterey Bay had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 20. Colorado Springs had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Monterey Bay's last 10 and 5 of Colorado Springs's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Monterey Bay averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Colorado Springs averaged 1.31 scored and 1.31 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.09 goals from Monterey Bay and 1.60 from Colorado Springs. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 48%, against 19%, 20% and 61% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 48%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Monterey Bay (green) and Colorado Springs (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monterey Bay | LWLLD | 1.10 | 2.00 | 80% | 50% |
| Colorado Springs | DDDDW | 1.10 | 1.20 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 19 Apr 2026 · Colorado Springs 4–1 Monterey Bay
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.20 |
| Colorado Springs Win | 62% | 1.45 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.56 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.60 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.30 |
| Colorado Springs HT & FT | 42% | 2.20 |
| 0-2 | 12% | 8.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other USL Championship matches that day
- Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington · 18 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · USL Championship
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Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–1 - Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Detroit City · 17 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · USL Championship
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 1–0 - Hartford Athletic vs Brooklyn · 17 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · USL Championship
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 2–3 - Louisville City vs Indy Eleven · 17 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · USL Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Miami FC vs Charleston Battery · 17 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · USL Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 1–2