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USL Championship · USA
El Paso Locomotive vs Sacramento Republic prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
El Paso Locomotive host Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship (USA) on 18 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.73, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: El Paso Locomotive 0–1 Sacramento Republic.
Going into the match, El Paso Locomotive had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 9. Sacramento Republic had won 4, drawn 6 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of El Paso Locomotive's last 10 and 7 of Sacramento Republic's last 10; 7 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home El Paso Locomotive averaged 1.54 goals scored and 1.38 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Sacramento Republic averaged 1.00 scored and 1.07 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.05 goals from El Paso Locomotive and 1.16 from Sacramento Republic. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 37%, against 36%, 27% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 46%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between El Paso Locomotive (green) and Sacramento Republic (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Paso Locomotive | WLDWW | 2.00 | 0.90 | 70% | 70% |
| Sacramento Republic | DDWWD | 1.40 | 1.00 | 70% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- El Paso Locomotive form and statistics
- Sacramento Republic form and statistics
- USL Championship statistics
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