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USL Championship · USA
Miami FC vs Charleston Battery prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Miami FC host Charleston Battery in the USL Championship (USA) on 17 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Miami FC 1–2 Charleston Battery.
Going into the match, Miami FC had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 17. Charleston Battery had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Miami FC's last 10 and 4 of Charleston Battery's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Miami FC averaged 1.93 goals scored and 2.07 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Charleston Battery averaged 1.50 scored and 1.64 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.32 goals from Miami FC and 2.13 from Charleston Battery. From that it rates a home win at 22%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 55%, against 31%, 25% and 44% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Miami FC (green) and Charleston Battery (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami FC | LWWWW | 1.50 | 1.70 | 70% | 70% |
| Charleston Battery | DLWWD | 1.60 | 1.00 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Aug 2026 · Charleston Battery 5–0 Miami FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 58% | 1.60 |
| Charleston Battery Win | 44% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other USL Championship matches that day
- Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington · 18 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · USL Championship
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Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28 · FT 2–4 - Rhode Island vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds · 17 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · USL Championship
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–1 - Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Detroit City · 17 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · USL Championship
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 1–0 - Hartford Athletic vs Brooklyn · 17 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · USL Championship
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 2–3 - Louisville City vs Indy Eleven · 17 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · USL Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53