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UEFA Europa League · International
Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth prediction and preview
5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · Stadion Letná, Prague
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sparta Praha host Bournemouth in the UEFA Europa League (International) on 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Bournemouth Win — Bournemouth to win. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Sparta Praha had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 9. Bournemouth had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Sparta Praha's last 10 and 3 of Bournemouth's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sparta Praha averaged 2.38 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Bournemouth averaged 1.91 scored and 1.64 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.33 goals from Sparta Praha and 1.84 from Bournemouth. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 49%, against 15%, 22% and 63% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sparta Praha (green) and Bournemouth (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Praha | DLWLD | 2.00 | 0.90 | 40% | 40% |
| Bournemouth | WWWWW | 2.10 | 0.90 | 30% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 79% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Bournemouth Win | 65% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other UEFA Europa League matches that day
- AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Bayer Leverkusen Win @ 1.36 - Benfica vs Lech Poznan · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.80 - Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Celtic vs Beşiktaş · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Hapoel Beer Sheva vs OFI · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.67 - Sturm Graz vs Celje · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Sunderland Win @ 1.48 - Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC · 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: AC Milan Win @ 1.33 - Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg · 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 - Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim · 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50