Home › League stats › Ligue 3 › Gobelins vs Rouen
Ligue 3 · France
Gobelins vs Rouen prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gobelins host Rouen in the Ligue 3 (France) on 17 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Gobelins 3–1 Rouen.
Going into the match, Gobelins had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Rouen had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Gobelins's last 10 and 3 of Rouen's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gobelins averaged 0.86 goals scored and 0.86 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Rouen averaged 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.94 goals from Gobelins and 1.10 from Rouen. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 38%, against 27%, 26% and 48% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gobelins (green) and Rouen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.67 |
| Rouen Win | 47% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ligue 3 matches that day
- Aubagne vs Le Puy Foot · 17 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Fleury 91 · 17 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Concarneau vs Bastia · 17 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 - Quevilly vs Orleans · 17 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Thionville Lusitanos vs Versailles · 17 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 1–2 - Valenciennes vs Amiens · 17 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 1–1 - Villefranche vs Cannes · 17 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 2–1