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Ligue 3 · France
Villefranche vs Cannes prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Villefranche host Cannes in the Ligue 3 (France) on 17 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Villefranche 2–1 Cannes.
Going into the match, Villefranche had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 27. Cannes had won 3, drawn 7 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Villefranche's last 10 and 5 of Cannes's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Villefranche averaged 1.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Cannes averaged 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.97 goals from Villefranche and 2.40 from Cannes. From that it rates a home win at 13%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 68%, against 24%, 26% and 50% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Villefranche (green) and Cannes (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villefranche | LLLDL | 0.90 | 2.70 | 50% | 60% |
| Cannes | WDDDW | 1.40 | 0.70 | 50% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 61% | 1.49 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Cannes Win | 50% | 1.80 |
| BTTS No | 49% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ligue 3 matches that day
- Aubagne vs Le Puy Foot · 17 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Fleury 91 · 17 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Concarneau vs Bastia · 17 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 - Gobelins vs Rouen · 17 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Quevilly vs Orleans · 17 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Thionville Lusitanos vs Versailles · 17 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 1–2 - Valenciennes vs Amiens · 17 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 1–1