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Ligue 3 · France
Quevilly vs Orleans prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Quevilly host Orleans in the Ligue 3 (France) on 17 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Quevilly 3–2 Orleans.
Going into the match, Quevilly had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 12. Orleans had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Quevilly's last 10 and 4 of Orleans's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Quevilly averaged 1.11 goals scored and 0.56 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Orleans averaged 1.27 scored and 1.09 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.14 goals from Quevilly and 1.04 from Orleans. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 32%, against 37%, 29% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Quevilly (green) and Orleans (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 Apr 2026 · Orleans 0–3 Quevilly
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ligue 3 matches that day
- Aubagne vs Le Puy Foot · 17 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Fleury 91 · 17 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Concarneau vs Bastia · 17 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 - Gobelins vs Rouen · 17 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Thionville Lusitanos vs Versailles · 17 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 1–2 - Valenciennes vs Amiens · 17 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 1–1 - Villefranche vs Cannes · 17 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 2–1