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Ligue 3 · France
Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Fleury 91 prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bourg-en-bresse 01 host Fleury 91 in the Ligue 3 (France) on 17 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Bourg-en-bresse 01 0–1 Fleury 91.
Going into the match, Bourg-en-bresse 01 had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 17. Fleury 91 had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Bourg-en-bresse 01's last 10 and 8 of Fleury 91's last 10; 2 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bourg-en-bresse 01 averaged 0.78 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Fleury 91 averaged 1.25 scored and 1.63 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.79 goals from Bourg-en-bresse 01 and 1.19 from Fleury 91. From that it rates a home win at 23%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 44%, against 24%, 28% and 48% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bourg-en-bresse 01 (green) and Fleury 91 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bourg-en-bresse 01 | LDDLL | 0.60 | 1.70 | 40% | 20% |
| Fleury 91 | WLDWW | 1.60 | 1.40 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 Goals | 73% | 1.30 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| BTTS No | 49% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ligue 3 matches that day
- Aubagne vs Le Puy Foot · 17 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Concarneau vs Bastia · 17 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 - Gobelins vs Rouen · 17 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Quevilly vs Orleans · 17 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Thionville Lusitanos vs Versailles · 17 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 1–2 - Valenciennes vs Amiens · 17 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 1–1 - Villefranche vs Cannes · 17 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC · Ligue 3
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 2–1