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Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · Spain
Yeclano vs Poblense prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Yeclano host Poblense in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (Spain) on 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Yeclano 2–2 Poblense.
Going into the match, Yeclano had won 2, drawn 7 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 9. Poblense had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Yeclano's last 10 and 4 of Poblense's last 10; 1 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Yeclano averaged 0.80 goals scored and 0.60 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Poblense averaged 0.86 scored and 1.43 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.09 goals from Yeclano and 0.84 from Poblense. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 26%, against 50%, 29% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Yeclano (green) and Poblense (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.28 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 59% | 1.56 |
| BTTS No | 58% | 1.59 |
| Yeclano Win | 50% | 1.80 |
| Yeclano HT & FT | 32% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.10 |
| 1-0 | 17% | 5.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 matches that day
- Alcoyano vs Elche II · 18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.70 - Cieza vs Valencia II · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.90 - Intercity vs Real Murcia II · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Intercity Win @ 1.50 - Castellón II vs Deportiva Minera · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.61 - Mallorca II vs Orihuela · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.36 - Castellonense vs La Nucía · 18 Oct 2026, 09:45 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.60 - Peña Deportiva vs Ucam Murcia · 18 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals @ 1.35 - Lorca Deportiva vs Atlético Baleares · 18 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.28 · FT 2–2