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Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · Spain
Peña Deportiva vs Ucam Murcia prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Peña Deportiva host Ucam Murcia in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (Spain) on 18 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals — fewer than 1.5 goals in the first half. It was published at odds of 1.35, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Peña Deportiva 0–1 Ucam Murcia.
Going into the match, Peña Deportiva had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 18. Ucam Murcia had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Peña Deportiva's last 10 and 6 of Ucam Murcia's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Peña Deportiva averaged 2.67 goals scored and 1.11 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Ucam Murcia averaged 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.21 goals from Peña Deportiva and 1.75 from Ucam Murcia. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 49%, against 26%, 26% and 48% implied by the 1X2 prices.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Peña Deportiva (green) and Ucam Murcia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peña Deportiva | WLLLD | 1.50 | 1.80 | 60% | 50% |
| Ucam Murcia | WWLWW | 2.00 | 1.30 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.82 |
| Ucam Murcia Win | 46% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.05 |
| Ucam Murcia HT & FT | 31% | 3.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Peña Deportiva form and statistics
- Ucam Murcia form and statistics
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 statistics
Other Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 matches that day
- Alcoyano vs Elche II · 18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.70 - Cieza vs Valencia II · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.90 - Intercity vs Real Murcia II · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Intercity Win @ 1.50 - Castellón II vs Deportiva Minera · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.61 - Mallorca II vs Orihuela · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.36 - Yeclano vs Poblense · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–2 - Castellonense vs La Nucía · 18 Oct 2026, 09:45 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.60 - Lorca Deportiva vs Atlético Baleares · 18 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.28 · FT 2–2