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Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · Spain
Lorca Deportiva vs Atlético Baleares prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lorca Deportiva host Atlético Baleares in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (Spain) on 18 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Lorca Deportiva 2–2 Atlético Baleares.
Going into the match, Lorca Deportiva had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 11. Atlético Baleares had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Lorca Deportiva's last 10 and 6 of Atlético Baleares's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lorca Deportiva averaged 0.80 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Atlético Baleares averaged 1.55 scored and 0.73 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.17 goals from Lorca Deportiva and 1.29 from Atlético Baleares. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 38%, against 38%, 29% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lorca Deportiva (green) and Atlético Baleares (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorca Deportiva | WLWDL | 0.80 | 1.10 | 40% | 30% |
| Atlético Baleares | DWDLD | 1.60 | 1.30 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.78 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.30 |
| Lorca Deportiva Win | 38% | 2.35 |
| 1-0 | 13% | 7.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Lorca Deportiva form and statistics
- Atlético Baleares form and statistics
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 statistics
Other Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 matches that day
- Alcoyano vs Elche II · 18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.70 - Cieza vs Valencia II · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.90 - Intercity vs Real Murcia II · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Intercity Win @ 1.50 - Castellón II vs Deportiva Minera · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.61 - Mallorca II vs Orihuela · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.36 - Yeclano vs Poblense · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–2 - Castellonense vs La Nucía · 18 Oct 2026, 09:45 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.60 - Peña Deportiva vs Ucam Murcia · 18 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals @ 1.35