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Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · Spain
Castellón II vs Deportiva Minera prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Castellón II host Deportiva Minera in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (Spain) on 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.61, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Castellón II had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 11. Deportiva Minera had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Castellón II's last 10 and 2 of Deportiva Minera's last 10; 7 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Castellón II averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.86 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Deportiva Minera averaged 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.37 goals from Castellón II and 1.17 from Deportiva Minera. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 31%, against 41%, 26% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Castellón II (green) and Deportiva Minera (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castellón II | LWWWW | 1.60 | 1.10 | 60% | 70% |
| Deportiva Minera | WWLDD | 1.10 | 0.70 | 20% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.43 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.61 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 48% | 1.95 |
| Castellón II Win | 40% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Castellón II form and statistics
- Deportiva Minera form and statistics
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 statistics
Other Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 matches that day
- Alcoyano vs Elche II · 18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.70 - Cieza vs Valencia II · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.90 - Intercity vs Real Murcia II · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Intercity Win @ 1.50 - Mallorca II vs Orihuela · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.36 - Yeclano vs Poblense · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–2 - Castellonense vs La Nucía · 18 Oct 2026, 09:45 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.60 - Peña Deportiva vs Ucam Murcia · 18 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals @ 1.35 - Lorca Deportiva vs Atlético Baleares · 18 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.28 · FT 2–2