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Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · Spain
Alcoyano vs Elche II prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Alcoyano host Elche II in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (Spain) on 18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Alcoyano had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Elche II had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Alcoyano's last 10 and 4 of Elche II's last 10; 2 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Alcoyano averaged 1.14 goals scored and 0.43 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Elche II averaged 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.57 goals from Alcoyano and 0.74 from Elche II. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 16%, against 54%, 26% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Alcoyano (green) and Elche II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.48 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.70 |
| Alcoyano Win | 54% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.69 |
| Alcoyano HT & FT | 35% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 matches that day
- Cieza vs Valencia II · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.90 - Intercity vs Real Murcia II · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Intercity Win @ 1.50 - Castellón II vs Deportiva Minera · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.61 - Mallorca II vs Orihuela · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.36 - Yeclano vs Poblense · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–2 - Castellonense vs La Nucía · 18 Oct 2026, 09:45 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.60 - Peña Deportiva vs Ucam Murcia · 18 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals @ 1.35 - Lorca Deportiva vs Atlético Baleares · 18 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.28 · FT 2–2