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Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · Spain
Intercity vs Real Murcia II prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Intercity host Real Murcia II in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (Spain) on 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Intercity Win — Intercity to win. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Intercity had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 10. Real Murcia II had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Intercity's last 10 and 7 of Real Murcia II's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Intercity averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Real Murcia II averaged 1.13 scored and 1.63 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.76 goals from Intercity and 0.76 from Real Murcia II. From that it rates a home win at 60%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 15%, against 60%, 24% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Intercity (green) and Real Murcia II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intercity | LDWDD | 1.30 | 1.00 | 60% | 50% |
| Real Murcia II | DLWLL | 1.10 | 1.60 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.43 |
| Intercity Win | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.74 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Intercity HT & FT | 44% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Intercity form and statistics
- Real Murcia II form and statistics
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 statistics
Other Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 matches that day
- Alcoyano vs Elche II · 18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.70 - Cieza vs Valencia II · 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.90 - Castellón II vs Deportiva Minera · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.61 - Mallorca II vs Orihuela · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.36 - Yeclano vs Poblense · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–2 - Castellonense vs La Nucía · 18 Oct 2026, 09:45 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.60 - Peña Deportiva vs Ucam Murcia · 18 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals @ 1.35 - Lorca Deportiva vs Atlético Baleares · 18 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.28 · FT 2–2