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Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · Spain
Cieza vs Valencia II prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cieza host Valencia II in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (Spain) on 18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.90, which the bookmaker market rated at about 50% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Cieza had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 10. Valencia II had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Cieza's last 10 and 5 of Valencia II's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cieza averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Valencia II averaged 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.30 goals from Cieza and 0.76 from Valencia II. From that it rates a home win at 71%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 10%, against 47%, 27% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 41%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cieza (green) and Valencia II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cieza | WWDLW | 2.00 | 1.00 | 60% | 50% |
| Valencia II | LWLLL | 1.60 | 1.40 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.37 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.71 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Cieza Win | 47% | 1.90 |
| Cieza HT & FT | 30% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 matches that day
- Alcoyano vs Elche II · 18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.70 - Intercity vs Real Murcia II · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Intercity Win @ 1.50 - Castellón II vs Deportiva Minera · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.61 - Mallorca II vs Orihuela · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.36 - Yeclano vs Poblense · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–2 - Castellonense vs La Nucía · 18 Oct 2026, 09:45 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.60 - Peña Deportiva vs Ucam Murcia · 18 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals @ 1.35 - Lorca Deportiva vs Atlético Baleares · 18 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.28 · FT 2–2