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League Two · England
Swindon Town vs Walsall prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Swindon Town host Walsall in the League Two (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Swindon Town 1–1 Walsall.
Going into the match, Swindon Town had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 17. Walsall had won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Swindon Town's last 10 and 6 of Walsall's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Swindon Town averaged 1.54 goals scored and 1.38 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Walsall averaged 1.20 scored and 0.90 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.13 goals from Swindon Town and 1.06 from Walsall. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 32%, against 35%, 27% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Swindon Town (green) and Walsall (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swindon Town | LLDLL | 0.80 | 1.70 | 40% | 50% |
| Walsall | WDDLW | 1.30 | 1.40 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League Two matches that day
- Accrington ST vs Gillingham · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28 - Colchester vs Exeter City · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.30 - Crewe vs Rochdale · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 3–2 - Grimsby vs Northampton · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Newport County vs York · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Oldham vs Cheltenham · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 4–1 - Port Vale vs Chesterfield · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 1–0 - Salford City vs Crawley Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Tranmere vs Barnet · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham · 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League Two
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 2–0 - Shrewsbury vs Bristol Rovers · 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33