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League Two · England
Port Vale vs Chesterfield prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Port Vale host Chesterfield in the League Two (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Port Vale 1–0 Chesterfield.
Going into the match, Port Vale had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Chesterfield had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Port Vale's last 10 and 9 of Chesterfield's last 10; 1 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Port Vale averaged 1.10 goals scored and 0.30 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Chesterfield averaged 1.18 scored and 1.27 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.13 goals from Port Vale and 0.75 from Chesterfield. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 23%, against 35%, 27% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 37%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Port Vale (green) and Chesterfield (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Vale | WWDLW | 0.70 | 1.00 | 30% | 10% |
| Chesterfield | DWLDW | 2.20 | 1.70 | 90% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 22 Sep 2026 · Chesterfield 1–1 Port Vale
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League Two matches that day
- Accrington ST vs Gillingham · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28 - Colchester vs Exeter City · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.30 - Crewe vs Rochdale · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 3–2 - Grimsby vs Northampton · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Newport County vs York · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Oldham vs Cheltenham · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 4–1 - Salford City vs Crawley Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Swindon Town vs Walsall · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–1 - Tranmere vs Barnet · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham · 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League Two
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 2–0 - Shrewsbury vs Bristol Rovers · 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33