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League Two · England
Salford City vs Crawley Town prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Salford City host Crawley Town in the League Two (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Salford City 2–1 Crawley Town.
Going into the match, Salford City had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 9. Crawley Town had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Salford City's last 10 and 6 of Crawley Town's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Salford City averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.92 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Crawley Town averaged 1.27 scored and 1.91 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.12 goals from Salford City and 0.74 from Crawley Town. From that it rates a home win at 68%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 11%, against 68%, 19% and 13% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Salford City (green) and Crawley Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salford City | WDWWL | 1.60 | 0.90 | 50% | 40% |
| Crawley Town | DWLLL | 1.30 | 1.90 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 May 2026 · Crawley Town 0–0 Salford City
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Salford City Win | 69% | 1.36 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 55% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League Two matches that day
- Accrington ST vs Gillingham · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28 - Colchester vs Exeter City · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.30 - Crewe vs Rochdale · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 3–2 - Grimsby vs Northampton · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Newport County vs York · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Oldham vs Cheltenham · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 4–1 - Port Vale vs Chesterfield · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 1–0 - Swindon Town vs Walsall · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–1 - Tranmere vs Barnet · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham · 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League Two
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 2–0 - Shrewsbury vs Bristol Rovers · 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33