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League Two · England
Shrewsbury vs Bristol Rovers prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Shrewsbury host Bristol Rovers in the League Two (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Shrewsbury 1–0 Bristol Rovers.
Going into the match, Shrewsbury had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 13. Bristol Rovers had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Shrewsbury's last 10 and 4 of Bristol Rovers's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Shrewsbury averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Bristol Rovers averaged 1.55 scored and 1.91 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.26 goals from Shrewsbury and 1.07 from Bristol Rovers. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 30%, against 30%, 29% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Shrewsbury (green) and Bristol Rovers (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury | LLWDL | 0.80 | 1.30 | 30% | 30% |
| Bristol Rovers | LLLWL | 1.10 | 1.70 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.08 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League Two matches that day
- Accrington ST vs Gillingham · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28 - Colchester vs Exeter City · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.30 - Crewe vs Rochdale · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 3–2 - Grimsby vs Northampton · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Newport County vs York · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Oldham vs Cheltenham · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 4–1 - Port Vale vs Chesterfield · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 1–0 - Salford City vs Crawley Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Swindon Town vs Walsall · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–1 - Tranmere vs Barnet · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham · 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League Two
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 2–0