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Major League Soccer · USA

San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.50Market probability 64%Final score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

San Jose Earthquakes host Nashville SC in the Major League Soccer (USA) on 18 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Nashville SC.

Going into the match, San Jose Earthquakes had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 14. Nashville SC had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 7 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of San Jose Earthquakes's last 10 and 4 of Nashville SC's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home San Jose Earthquakes averaged 1.85 goals scored and 1.92 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Nashville SC averaged 1.36 scored and 0.86 conceded across 14.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.95 goals from San Jose Earthquakes and 1.94 from Nashville SC. From that it rates a home win at 17%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 59%, against 25%, 24% and 51% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between San Jose Earthquakes (green) and Nashville SC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form41% – 59%
Attack35% – 65%
Defence38% – 63%
Head-to-head50% – 50%
Goals50% – 50%
Overall strength41% – 59%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
San Jose EarthquakesDDWDW1.301.4070%40%
Nashville SCWWWWD2.400.7040%70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1275%1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals75%1.25
BTTS 1st Half - No73%1.28
BTTS Yes64%1.50
Over 2.5 Goals62%1.53
Under 3.5 Goals58%1.62
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals58%1.62
Under 10.5 Corners54%1.73

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

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