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Major League Soccer · USA
New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
New England Revolution host Chicago Fire in the Major League Soccer (USA) on 17 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: New England Revolution 1–0 Chicago Fire.
Going into the match, New England Revolution had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 16. Chicago Fire had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of New England Revolution's last 10 and 8 of Chicago Fire's last 10; 9 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home New England Revolution averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Chicago Fire averaged 1.86 scored and 1.79 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.64 goals from New England Revolution and 1.49 from Chicago Fire. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 34%, against 40%, 25% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between New England Revolution (green) and Chicago Fire (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution | WLLWW | 1.90 | 1.60 | 70% | 90% |
| Chicago Fire | LWWWL | 1.60 | 1.90 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 14 Sep 2026 · Chicago Fire 1–2 New England Revolution
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.48 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 55% | 1.67 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- New England Revolution form and statistics
- Chicago Fire form and statistics
- Major League Soccer statistics
Other Major League Soccer matches that day
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego · 18 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.33 - Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal · 18 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 1–1 - San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC · 18 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 1–1 - Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids · 18 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 0–0 - Austin vs Vancouver Whitecaps · 18 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.48 · FT 1–2 - Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas · 18 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake · 18 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami · 17 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.33 · FT 1–3 - New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC · 17 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 1–1 - New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC · 17 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 · FT 0–2 - Orlando City SC vs DC United · 17 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40