Home › League stats › Major League Soccer › Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas
Major League Soccer · USA
Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Houston Dynamo host FC Dallas in the Major League Soccer (USA) on 18 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Houston Dynamo 2–2 FC Dallas.
Going into the match, Houston Dynamo had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 13. FC Dallas had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Houston Dynamo's last 10 and 6 of FC Dallas's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Houston Dynamo averaged 1.57 goals scored and 0.64 conceded across 14 matches; away from home FC Dallas averaged 1.67 scored and 1.80 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.50 goals from Houston Dynamo and 1.10 from FC Dallas. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 27%, against 41%, 27% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Houston Dynamo (green) and FC Dallas (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo | DDLDL | 1.10 | 1.30 | 50% | 50% |
| FC Dallas | WLWDW | 1.90 | 1.90 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Major League Soccer matches that day
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego · 18 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.33 - Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal · 18 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 1–1 - San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC · 18 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 1–1 - Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids · 18 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 0–0 - Austin vs Vancouver Whitecaps · 18 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.48 · FT 1–2 - Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake · 18 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami · 17 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.33 · FT 1–3 - New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC · 17 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 1–1 - New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC · 17 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 · FT 0–2 - Orlando City SC vs DC United · 17 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire · 17 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 · FT 1–0