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Major League Soccer · USA
Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sporting Kansas City host Real Salt Lake in the Major League Soccer (USA) on 18 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sporting Kansas City 1–3 Real Salt Lake.
Going into the match, Sporting Kansas City had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 24. Real Salt Lake had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Sporting Kansas City's last 10 and 4 of Real Salt Lake's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sporting Kansas City averaged 1.64 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Real Salt Lake averaged 0.77 scored and 1.92 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.61 goals from Sporting Kansas City and 2.07 from Real Salt Lake. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 48%, against 33%, 25% and 42% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sporting Kansas City (green) and Real Salt Lake (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Kansas City | LDLWL | 1.70 | 2.40 | 70% | 80% |
| Real Salt Lake | DLWLL | 0.80 | 1.80 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 55% | 1.67 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Sporting Kansas City form and statistics
- Real Salt Lake form and statistics
- Major League Soccer statistics
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