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Major League Soccer · USA
New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
New York City FC host Los Angeles FC in the Major League Soccer (USA) on 17 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: New York City FC 1–1 Los Angeles FC.
Going into the match, New York City FC had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 13. Los Angeles FC had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of New York City FC's last 10 and 6 of Los Angeles FC's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home New York City FC averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Los Angeles FC averaged 1.13 scored and 1.50 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.18 goals from New York City FC and 1.04 from Los Angeles FC. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 31%, against 35%, 27% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between New York City FC (green) and Los Angeles FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York City FC | LLDLW | 0.90 | 1.30 | 60% | 40% |
| Los Angeles FC | WDLDL | 1.20 | 1.20 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- New York City FC form and statistics
- Los Angeles FC form and statistics
- Major League Soccer statistics
Other Major League Soccer matches that day
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego · 18 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.33 - Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal · 18 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 1–1 - San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC · 18 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 1–1 - Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids · 18 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 0–0 - Austin vs Vancouver Whitecaps · 18 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.48 · FT 1–2 - Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas · 18 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake · 18 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami · 17 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.33 · FT 1–3 - New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC · 17 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 · FT 0–2 - Orlando City SC vs DC United · 17 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire · 17 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 · FT 1–0