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Major League Soccer · USA
Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Atlanta United FC host Inter Miami in the Major League Soccer (USA) on 17 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Atlanta United FC 1–3 Inter Miami.
Going into the match, Atlanta United FC had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 14. Inter Miami had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Atlanta United FC's last 10 and 7 of Inter Miami's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Atlanta United FC averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.90 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Inter Miami averaged 2.22 scored and 1.78 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.58 goals from Atlanta United FC and 2.12 from Inter Miami. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 49%, against 28%, 23% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Atlanta United FC (green) and Inter Miami (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United FC | WLDWD | 1.50 | 1.40 | 60% | 70% |
| Inter Miami | WWLDW | 2.40 | 1.20 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 6 Sep 2026 · Inter Miami 2–2 Atlanta United FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS Yes | 70% | 1.33 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| Inter Miami Win | 49% | 1.91 |
| Inter Miami HT & FT | 33% | 2.88 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Major League Soccer matches that day
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego · 18 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.33 - Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal · 18 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 1–1 - San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC · 18 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 1–1 - Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids · 18 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 0–0 - Austin vs Vancouver Whitecaps · 18 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.48 · FT 1–2 - Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas · 18 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake · 18 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC · 17 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 1–1 - New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC · 17 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 · FT 0–2 - Orlando City SC vs DC United · 17 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire · 17 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · Major League Soccer
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 · FT 1–0