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UEFA Europa Conference League · International
Getafe vs FC Lugano prediction and preview
22 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Getafe host FC Lugano in the UEFA Europa Conference League (International) on 22 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Getafe 2–5 FC Lugano.
Going into the match, Getafe had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 11. FC Lugano had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 28 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Getafe's last 10 and 6 of FC Lugano's last 10; 2 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Getafe averaged 1.18 goals scored and 0.82 conceded across 11 matches; away from home FC Lugano averaged 3.14 scored and 0.71 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.66 goals from Getafe and 1.59 from FC Lugano. From that it rates a home win at 14%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 59%, against 52%, 27% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Getafe (green) and FC Lugano (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| Getafe Win | 52% | 1.80 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other UEFA Europa Conference League matches that day
- Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 1–1 - Ajax vs Atalanta · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 2–0 - Borac Banja Luka vs KuPS · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 2–0 - SC Braga vs Gent · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: SC Braga Win @ 1.85 · FT 2–0 - Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Twente · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–4 - FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 · FT 0–1 - Monaco vs SC Freiburg · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 3–0 - FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 0–1 - FK Crvena Zvezda vs FC Copenhagen · 22 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–2 - FC Iberia 1999 vs Mjallby AIF · 22 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 · FT 1–1 - Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova · 22 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Universitatea Craiova Win @ 1.57 · FT 1–3 - FK Jablonec vs Brighton · 22 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 0–0