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FK Jablonec vs Brighton prediction and preview
22 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FK Jablonec host Brighton in the UEFA Europa Conference League (International) on 22 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FK Jablonec 0–0 Brighton.
Going into the match, FK Jablonec had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 14. Brighton had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 34 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of FK Jablonec's last 10 and 3 of Brighton's last 10; 4 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FK Jablonec averaged 1.67 goals scored and 0.81 conceded across 21 matches; away from home Brighton averaged 2.00 scored and 1.33 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.81 goals from FK Jablonec and 1.59 from Brighton. From that it rates a home win at 18%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 55%, against 10%, 16% and 75% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 43%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FK Jablonec (green) and Brighton (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Jablonec | LLWWD | 1.20 | 1.40 | 50% | 40% |
| Brighton | WWWWW | 3.40 | 0.70 | 30% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton Win | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Brighton 1st Half Win | 57% | 1.62 |
| Brighton HT & FT | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other UEFA Europa Conference League matches that day
- Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 1–1 - Ajax vs Atalanta · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 2–0 - Borac Banja Luka vs KuPS · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 2–0 - SC Braga vs Gent · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: SC Braga Win @ 1.85 · FT 2–0 - Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Twente · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–4 - FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 · FT 0–1 - Monaco vs SC Freiburg · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 3–0 - FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 0–1 - FK Crvena Zvezda vs FC Copenhagen · 22 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–2 - Getafe vs FC Lugano · 22 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 2–5 - FC Iberia 1999 vs Mjallby AIF · 22 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 · FT 1–1 - Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova · 22 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Universitatea Craiova Win @ 1.57 · FT 1–3