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National League - North · England

Chorley vs Buxton prediction and preview

24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.44Market probability 66%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Chorley host Buxton in the National League - North (England) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Chorley had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 15. Buxton had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 17 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Chorley's last 10 and 4 of Buxton's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chorley averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.42 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Buxton averaged 1.30 scored and 1.80 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.50 goals from Chorley and 1.29 from Buxton. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 32%, against 33%, 26% and 42% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
ChorleyLDWWW1.701.5060%60%
BuxtonDLLLW1.601.7040%70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Over 1.5 Goals77%1.22
Double Chance 1274%1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals70%1.33
Under 3.5 Goals66%1.44
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals63%1.50
Under 10.5 Corners60%1.52
BTTS Yes59%1.62
Over 2.5 Goals55%1.70

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other National League - North matches that day