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National League - North · England
AFC Telford United vs Hebburn Town prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
AFC Telford United host Hebburn Town in the National League - North (England) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, AFC Telford United had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 18. Hebburn Town had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 23 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of AFC Telford United's last 10 and 7 of Hebburn Town's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home AFC Telford United averaged 0.91 goals scored and 1.73 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Hebburn Town averaged 1.89 scored and 2.00 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.75 goals from AFC Telford United and 1.61 from Hebburn Town. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 35%, against 47%, 26% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Telford United | WLLLD | 1.00 | 1.80 | 50% | 60% |
| Hebburn Town | LLDLW | 1.20 | 2.30 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 79% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 53% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- AFC Telford United form and statistics
- Hebburn Town form and statistics
- National League - North statistics
Other National League - North matches that day
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Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44