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National League - North · England
South Shields vs Chester prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
South Shields host Chester in the National League - North (England) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, South Shields had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 18. Chester had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of South Shields's last 10 and 6 of Chester's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home South Shields averaged 2.08 goals scored and 0.92 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Chester averaged 1.43 scored and 1.14 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.50 goals from South Shields and 0.93 from Chester. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 22%, against 40%, 27% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Shields | LLWLW | 2.40 | 1.80 | 50% | 70% |
| Chester | WLWWL | 1.20 | 1.30 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other National League - North matches that day
- AFC Telford United vs Hebburn Town · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - North
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Brackley Town vs Radcliffe · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - North
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Chorley vs Buxton · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - North
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Darlington 1883 vs Spennymoor Town · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - North
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 - Harborough Town vs Worksop Town · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - North
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Hednesford Town vs Spalding United · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - North
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - King's Lynn Town vs Southport · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - North
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Macclesfield vs Hereford · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - North
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Marine vs Oxford City · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - North
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Merthyr Town vs Morecambe · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - North
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Scarborough Athletic vs Bedford Town · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - North
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44