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National League - North · England
King's Lynn Town vs Southport prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
King's Lynn Town host Southport in the National League - North (England) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, King's Lynn Town had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 15. Southport had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of King's Lynn Town's last 10 and 4 of Southport's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home King's Lynn Town averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Southport averaged 0.80 scored and 2.50 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.18 goals from King's Lynn Town and 0.92 from Southport. From that it rates a home win at 65%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 14%, against 55%, 24% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| King's Lynn Town | DWWLW | 2.00 | 1.50 | 60% | 60% |
| Southport | LLDLL | 0.90 | 1.90 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 60% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other National League - North matches that day
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Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Macclesfield vs Hereford · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · National League - North
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Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44