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National League - North · England
Harborough Town vs Worksop Town prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Harborough Town host Worksop Town in the National League - North (England) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Harborough Town had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 11. Worksop Town had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Harborough Town's last 10 and 6 of Worksop Town's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Harborough Town averaged 1.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Worksop Town averaged 1.50 scored and 1.80 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.90 goals from Harborough Town and 1.12 from Worksop Town. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 21%, against 49%, 25% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harborough Town | WWWLW | 1.10 | 1.10 | 40% | 50% |
| Worksop Town | DWLLW | 1.60 | 1.70 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 53% | 1.74 |
| Harborough Town Win | 50% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Harborough Town form and statistics
- Worksop Town form and statistics
- National League - North statistics
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