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Championship · England
Cardiff vs Birmingham prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cardiff host Birmingham in the Championship (England) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Cardiff had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 16. Birmingham had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Cardiff's last 10 and 7 of Birmingham's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cardiff averaged 2.33 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Birmingham averaged 1.36 scored and 0.64 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.72 goals from Cardiff and 2.01 from Birmingham. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 44%, against 35%, 26% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cardiff (green) and Birmingham (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff | DWLWL | 1.60 | 1.60 | 80% | 70% |
| Birmingham | WWWDW | 1.90 | 1.50 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Championship matches that day
- Blackburn vs Wrexham · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Lincoln vs Burnley · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Preston vs West Brom · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28 - QPR vs Swansea · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 - Stoke City vs Bristol City · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 - West Ham vs Southampton · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Wolves vs Watford · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Charlton vs Norwich · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 - Portsmouth vs Millwall · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Sheffield Utd vs Derby · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.25