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West Ham vs Southampton prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
West Ham host Southampton in the Championship (England) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, West Ham had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 29 and conceding 11. Southampton had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of West Ham's last 10 and 7 of Southampton's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home West Ham averaged 2.64 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Southampton averaged 1.46 scored and 0.92 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.01 goals from West Ham and 1.22 from Southampton. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 22%, against 56%, 23% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between West Ham (green) and Southampton (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham | WWDDL | 2.90 | 1.10 | 60% | 70% |
| Southampton | DWWLW | 1.80 | 1.10 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Aug 2026 · Southampton 1–4 West Ham
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| West Ham Win | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Championship matches that day
- Blackburn vs Wrexham · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Cardiff vs Birmingham · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 - Lincoln vs Burnley · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Preston vs West Brom · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28 - QPR vs Swansea · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 - Stoke City vs Bristol City · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 - Wolves vs Watford · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Charlton vs Norwich · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 - Portsmouth vs Millwall · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Sheffield Utd vs Derby · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.25