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QPR vs Swansea prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
QPR host Swansea in the Championship (England) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.73, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, QPR had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 11. Swansea had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of QPR's last 10 and 4 of Swansea's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home QPR averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Swansea averaged 1.44 scored and 1.11 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.25 goals from QPR and 0.92 from Swansea. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 26%, against 38%, 28% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 44%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between QPR (green) and Swansea (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Apr 2026 · QPR 1–2 Swansea
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Championship matches that day
- Blackburn vs Wrexham · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Cardiff vs Birmingham · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 - Lincoln vs Burnley · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Preston vs West Brom · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28 - Stoke City vs Bristol City · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 - West Ham vs Southampton · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Wolves vs Watford · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Charlton vs Norwich · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 - Portsmouth vs Millwall · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Sheffield Utd vs Derby · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.25