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Championship · England
Lincoln vs Burnley prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lincoln host Burnley in the Championship (England) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Lincoln had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 18. Burnley had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Lincoln's last 10 and 8 of Burnley's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lincoln averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.25 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Burnley averaged 1.08 scored and 2.23 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.27 goals from Lincoln and 1.43 from Burnley. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 40%, against 31%, 28% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lincoln (green) and Burnley (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Championship matches that day
- Blackburn vs Wrexham · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Cardiff vs Birmingham · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 - Preston vs West Brom · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28 - QPR vs Swansea · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 - Stoke City vs Bristol City · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 - West Ham vs Southampton · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Wolves vs Watford · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Charlton vs Norwich · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 - Portsmouth vs Millwall · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Sheffield Utd vs Derby · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.25