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Championship · England
Stoke City vs Bristol City prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Stoke City host Bristol City in the Championship (England) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.73, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Stoke City had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 12. Bristol City had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Stoke City's last 10 and 5 of Bristol City's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Stoke City averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.23 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Bristol City averaged 1.43 scored and 1.43 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.34 goals from Stoke City and 0.91 from Bristol City. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 24%, against 41%, 28% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 45%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Stoke City (green) and Bristol City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | WLWWW | 1.70 | 1.20 | 70% | 60% |
| Bristol City | LLDWW | 1.20 | 1.10 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 May 2026 · Bristol City 2–0 Stoke City
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Championship matches that day
- Blackburn vs Wrexham · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Cardiff vs Birmingham · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 - Lincoln vs Burnley · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Preston vs West Brom · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28 - QPR vs Swansea · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 - West Ham vs Southampton · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Wolves vs Watford · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Charlton vs Norwich · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Championship
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 - Portsmouth vs Millwall · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Sheffield Utd vs Derby · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.25