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League Two · England
York vs Port Vale prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
York host Port Vale in the League Two (England) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.73, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, York had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 13. Port Vale had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of York's last 10 and 3 of Port Vale's last 10; 4 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home York averaged 1.79 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Port Vale averaged 1.00 scored and 1.46 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.99 goals from York and 1.04 from Port Vale. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 35%, against 47%, 27% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 42%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between York (green) and Port Vale (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League Two matches that day
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