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League Two · England
Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bristol Rovers host Swindon Town in the League Two (England) on 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Bristol Rovers had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 18. Swindon Town had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Bristol Rovers's last 10 and 5 of Swindon Town's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bristol Rovers averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Swindon Town averaged 0.91 scored and 2.36 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.75 goals from Bristol Rovers and 1.08 from Swindon Town. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 22%, against 61%, 22% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bristol Rovers (green) and Swindon Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol Rovers | LLLLL | 0.80 | 1.80 | 40% | 50% |
| Swindon Town | WDLLD | 0.90 | 1.50 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Bristol Rovers Win | 60% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League Two matches that day
- Barnet vs Oldham · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Chesterfield vs Crewe · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Crawley Town vs Tranmere · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Gillingham vs Grimsby · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Rochdale vs Accrington ST · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Rotherham vs Shrewsbury · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.33 - York vs Port Vale · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 - Cheltenham vs Newport County · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League Two
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Northampton vs Colchester · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.25