Home › League stats › League Two › Chesterfield vs Crewe
League Two · England
Chesterfield vs Crewe prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Chesterfield host Crewe in the League Two (England) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Chesterfield had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 16. Crewe had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Chesterfield's last 10 and 8 of Crewe's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chesterfield averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.15 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Crewe averaged 1.23 scored and 1.23 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.35 goals from Chesterfield and 1.08 from Crewe. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 29%, against 57%, 26% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Chesterfield (green) and Crewe (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chesterfield | DLDWL | 2.10 | 1.60 | 80% | 60% |
| Crewe | LWWDW | 1.70 | 1.20 | 80% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Apr 2026 · Chesterfield 2–0 Crewe
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.65 |
| Chesterfield Win | 57% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League Two matches that day
- Barnet vs Oldham · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Crawley Town vs Tranmere · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Gillingham vs Grimsby · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Rochdale vs Accrington ST · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Rotherham vs Shrewsbury · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.33 - York vs Port Vale · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 - Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Cheltenham vs Newport County · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League Two
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Northampton vs Colchester · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.25