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Northampton vs Colchester prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Northampton host Colchester in the League Two (England) on 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Northampton to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Northampton had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 10. Colchester had won 0, drawn 6 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Northampton's last 10 and 7 of Colchester's last 10; 1 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Northampton averaged 0.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Colchester averaged 1.54 scored and 1.31 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.84 goals from Northampton and 0.74 from Colchester. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 38% and an away win at 28%, against 47%, 29% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Northampton (green) and Colchester (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northampton | LWDLL | 0.70 | 1.00 | 40% | 10% |
| Colchester | DDLDD | 0.80 | 1.50 | 70% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Northampton Win | 46% | 2.00 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League Two matches that day
- Barnet vs Oldham · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Chesterfield vs Crewe · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Crawley Town vs Tranmere · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Gillingham vs Grimsby · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Rochdale vs Accrington ST · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Rotherham vs Shrewsbury · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.33 - York vs Port Vale · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 - Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Cheltenham vs Newport County · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League Two
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67