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League Two · England
Rochdale vs Accrington ST prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rochdale host Accrington ST in the League Two (England) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Rochdale had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 19. Accrington ST had won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Rochdale's last 10 and 7 of Accrington ST's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rochdale averaged 1.92 goals scored and 1.69 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Accrington ST averaged 1.09 scored and 1.64 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.27 goals from Rochdale and 1.27 from Accrington ST. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 35%, against 37%, 27% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rochdale (green) and Accrington ST (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochdale | DLDLW | 1.40 | 1.90 | 60% | 60% |
| Accrington ST | DWDDW | 1.50 | 1.10 | 70% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League Two matches that day
- Barnet vs Oldham · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Chesterfield vs Crewe · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Crawley Town vs Tranmere · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Gillingham vs Grimsby · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Rotherham vs Shrewsbury · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.33 - York vs Port Vale · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 - Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Cheltenham vs Newport County · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League Two
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Northampton vs Colchester · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.25