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League Two · England
Gillingham vs Grimsby prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gillingham host Grimsby in the League Two (England) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Gillingham had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 16. Grimsby had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Gillingham's last 10 and 5 of Grimsby's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gillingham averaged 1.15 goals scored and 1.54 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Grimsby averaged 1.38 scored and 1.13 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.43 goals from Gillingham and 1.08 from Grimsby. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 27%, against 30%, 27% and 42% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gillingham (green) and Grimsby (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gillingham | DLWWD | 2.00 | 1.60 | 60% | 70% |
| Grimsby | DLLDL | 1.10 | 1.30 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 18 Apr 2026 · Gillingham 1–4 Grimsby
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League Two matches that day
- Barnet vs Oldham · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Chesterfield vs Crewe · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Crawley Town vs Tranmere · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Rochdale vs Accrington ST · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Rotherham vs Shrewsbury · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.33 - York vs Port Vale · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 - Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Cheltenham vs Newport County · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League Two
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Northampton vs Colchester · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.25