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League Two · England
Cheltenham vs Newport County prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cheltenham host Newport County in the League Two (England) on 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Cheltenham had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 19. Newport County had won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Cheltenham's last 10 and 5 of Newport County's last 10; 7 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cheltenham averaged 1.64 goals scored and 1.93 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Newport County averaged 1.50 scored and 1.13 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.60 goals from Cheltenham and 1.71 from Newport County. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 40%, against 36%, 29% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cheltenham (green) and Newport County (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham | WLDLL | 1.70 | 1.90 | 80% | 70% |
| Newport County | DDWDD | 1.10 | 0.80 | 50% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 18 Apr 2026 · Cheltenham 1–0 Newport County
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.67 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League Two matches that day
- Barnet vs Oldham · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Chesterfield vs Crewe · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Crawley Town vs Tranmere · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Gillingham vs Grimsby · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Rochdale vs Accrington ST · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Rotherham vs Shrewsbury · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.33 - York vs Port Vale · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 - Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Northampton vs Colchester · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.25