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Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva prediction and preview

22 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.50Market probability 63%Final score 4–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Union St. Gilloise host Hapoel Beer Sheva in the UEFA Europa League (International) on 22 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Union St. Gilloise 4–0 Hapoel Beer Sheva.

Going into the match, Union St. Gilloise had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 4. Hapoel Beer Sheva had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Union St. Gilloise's last 10 and 6 of Hapoel Beer Sheva's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Union St. Gilloise averaged 2.44 goals scored and 0.63 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Hapoel Beer Sheva averaged 1.71 scored and 1.41 conceded across 17.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.55 goals from Union St. Gilloise and 0.88 from Hapoel Beer Sheva. From that it rates a home win at 73%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 10%, against 71%, 17% and 12% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Union St. Gilloise (green) and Hapoel Beer Sheva (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form80% – 20%
Attack80% – 20%
Defence67% – 33%
Overall strength71% – 28%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Union St. GilloiseWDDWW2.400.4030%60%
Hapoel Beer ShevaWLWWD1.501.3060%60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
BTTS 1st Half - No78%1.20
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals74%1.25
Union St. Gilloise Win72%1.33
Over 2.5 Goals63%1.50
Under 3.5 Goals57%1.67
Over 8.5 Corners56%1.67
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals56%1.67
BTTS Yes52%1.80

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other UEFA Europa League matches that day