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UEFA Europa League · International
1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon prediction and preview
22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
1899 Hoffenheim host Lyon in the UEFA Europa League (International) on 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: 1899 Hoffenheim 3–0 Lyon.
Going into the match, 1899 Hoffenheim had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 21. Lyon had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of 1899 Hoffenheim's last 10 and 7 of Lyon's last 10; 9 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home 1899 Hoffenheim averaged 2.22 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Lyon averaged 1.09 scored and 1.36 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.82 goals from 1899 Hoffenheim and 1.55 from Lyon. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 32%, against 47%, 24% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between 1899 Hoffenheim (green) and Lyon (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1899 Hoffenheim | WLLLL | 1.90 | 2.10 | 80% | 90% |
| Lyon | WWLWW | 1.90 | 1.00 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other UEFA Europa League matches that day
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Published pick: Dinamo Zagreb Win @ 1.62 · FT 2–4 - Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense · 22 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 4–1